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zero in on a state with very different concerns, nevada. it, too, has six electoral votes up for grabs, but unlike iowa nevada is racked by the housing market and has the highest unemployment in the nation. why does the president hold a slim lead in the silver state? let's put it through the spin cycle. i think we all have nevada going blue? >> yes. >> remarkably, we all agree on something. >> we all agree on nevada. >> never happened before. >> yeah. i have it going blue because primarily because of early voting. early voting in nevada has 48,000 more democrats than republicans going to the polls in early voting, casting 700,000 votes. if projections go as planned and they get an 80% turnout, that means 70% of the votes have already been cast there. so me, that seems a pretty good indication of where this state is going. i'll give sail ver lia silver l mitt romney, and that is a lot like colorado. nevada has a very high mormon population. 7%, which is actually fairly high, and again, mormons accounted for a quarter of the electorate in the caucuses. so i think if they turn out in big
to win? we'll find out which way the swing state of nevada is going to go. >> politics and gambling are becoming in incompatible. you can't stay at a trump property. you can't stay at sheldon adelson hotel. you can't stay at steve wynn's hotel either. >> cenk: i love this one. the ridiculous efforts to get black voters. >> it's a big lie that democrats are for black americans and republicans are against black americans. abraham who freed the slaves was a republican. >> cenk: and so was alexander the great if we're going back to history--awesome. and the elbow of the day who's head is it going to land on? you'll love it. it's go time. [ ♪ music ♪ ] >> obama: it's good to be back. >> romney: if the president is re-elected he still will be unable to work with the people in progress. >> our top priority is defeat president obama the second time. >> i can't thank president obama enough for his personal concern and passion. >> people are dumpster diving, and what they're going after here is the food. >> this is america folks. it is not supposed to be this way. >> job reports appear re
nevada, big harry reid's home state, the senate leader, big union vote, big hispanic vote there. if he gets those three things, barack obama gets to 271 electoral votes and wins, tyler. >> but not any three of those nine states? >> specifically those three. >> specifically those three. say it again, ohio, nevada -- >> ohio, wisconsin, nevada. if barack obama gets those three, can win every other swing state -- >> do the polls tell us that he is ahead in those three? >> yes. >> they do? >> he is ahead in all three. in fact of the nine swing states, tyler, mitt romney has a clear lead only in the state of north carolina. he is even with president obama in florida and many strategists in both parties believe florida will go to mitt romney but he has got to get a lot more than that. >> john harwood, thank you very much. as john outlined it is very difficult for either candidate, frankly, to get to that magic 270 number without the state of ohio and here's video evidence from cleveland as to how important it is. both the romney and the biden campaign planes making stops at the cleveland hop
of these states, in particular in iowa and nevada, democrats have it locked up with early vote. in ohio they have a good position with early vote, but it depends on who turns out. republicans are coming out in big numbers in the rural areas, and the question i think for democrats is, how do we do in those urban areas, it particular the top ten counties? the thing i would like to stress is, you know, when you have an election that is this close and it's pretty obvious to say that the obvious, but it is going to be turnout, and democrats have got to be really focused and that is individual democrats coming out to vote. do not believe that this thing is over by any stretch of the imagination. this is going to be a very tight election. >> who doesn't believe that at this point, chris? >> you know, i sometimes hear when i see these pundits talk about their forecasts about what the election is going to be, i get it. if you look at the real clear politics averages, you can make that prediction. i'll make that prediction and think president obama will win. when you have so many polls clustered around the
votes for sure and he'll probably get in nevada which is six votes, that brings him to 243 votes. if he picked up ohio, then he would have, i think, 261 votes. he would need only nine more votes to climb the presidency. ohio is always important, especially to republicans, i'd say, this year more important than ever. >> we've been talking to voters in all states as they've left the polls today. anthony mason is in the exiting poll information. what did the voters in ohio say? >> the battleground states. the polls have closed, all three of them still right here in the middle in the toss-up column. we want to turn our eyes to ohio and the 18 electoral votes as we've been talking about. look in ohio, it makes up a quarter of the electorate there. john mccain and barack obama just about split this vote. romney has slightly a better advantage, but again, very close. we asked the white working class voters who's more in touch with people like you? again, tight. but asked as who would do a better job with the economy? romney has a big advantage. 53% to 44%. these are white working class voters
the president will carry nevada. some republicans push back but let's give nevada to the president. hypothetical here, folks. that would put the president at 243 to 206. you need 270 to win. let's see if romney can find the magic to get to 270. the state of iowa, the president will end there. that's his final rally. the president with a lead there. it's small. the romney campaign says it's still in play but the president has consistently led by a small margin. you will see more and more of that across the midwest. you mentioned governor romney going to cleveland tomorrow. let's look at the latest polling in ohio. no republican ever won the white house without it. mathematically can he get there without it, yes. is it probable, no. here's the latest poll of polls. cnn putting together the average of seven public polls, 50-47. so a very competitive race but again, the president has consistently been ahead by a couple in ohio. governor romney needs to win on the ground and win big on the ground tomorrow to carry that state. in a close election like this, sometimes the little guys matter. new hampsh
in wisconsin and iowa. they think they can win in nevada. they think that romney's going into pittsburgh tonight. he was in philadelphia yesterday. they think that pennsylvania is a head fake, a faint. i think they realize that they not going to win, obviously. north carolina and indiana, two states they won before. they think there is a firewall in the midwest and the three states they want are ohio, wisconsin, and iowa and nevada and, if they win those four states, they'll be all right. they don't have to win florida and virginia then. >> one thing we know by tomorrow night, we won't know the answer to any of those questions. >> exactly. >> we thank you. mark. as the candidates move on, mitt romney will end the evening in new hampshire and the president's going home to chicago. >> all right, guys. election officials in d.c. say about 52,000 people voted early this year. more than twice as early in the september 2010 primary and that is adding up to more than 10% of the population. comes with long waits, two hours or more in some cases. >> yes, we k. >>> supporters of maryland's questio
hampshire, virgin, florida, ohio, wisconsin, colorado, nevada, and if you put that through the grinder, you come out with one state, ohio. is that true? but you have nevada which is leaning towards obama and wisconsin is still leaning towards obama. ohio, is my view, is in dispense able. >> where did you read that nevada is leaning towards obama. >> i haven't seen a poll are romney leading first. it's one-third hispanic, and this heavily unionized. >> i have people there and they don't think that at all. >> that's the wrong neighborhood. >> here's the point i want to make. the polls today are regarded at microscopically perfect, you and i know, say ten years ago when you were still doing this show because of your tenacity, and because of my leniency. >> 0 years ago. >> 20 years ago, 30, polls were regarded as a rock makes, these polls today have -- as approximation, these polls today are -- >> there is money to be made. >> one or two -- [ talking over one another ] >> i hate to see this come to an end. >> polls are not that precise. >> if they weren't that precise, why do politicians spend
: and then the wildcard no one is talking about. >> nevada i take more votes away from obama. in north carolina, michigan, i take more votes away from romney. i think it's really equal on both sides. >> cenk: now wait until i show you the numbers how much different it is when you include a third-party candidate in which no polling was done until two days ago. oh boy, and the elbow of the day, that's republican-on-republican crime. everybody, it's go time. >> romney: i'm mitt romney. i believe in america. and i'm running for president. >> an underdog senator. nobody thought that he had a chance. now he's the president. >> romney: that is quite an orlando welcome. we ask that you stay at this all the way until victory on tuesday night. >> i stood with president obama four years ago and i'm proud to be standing here with him today. [ singing ] >> every day i'm concerned about women's rights and health issues. i don't need to tell you about the dangers to roe versus wade. >> tomorrow we begin a new tomorrow. >> we know what change looks like then ♪ ohio ♪ make some noise ♪ >> hello ohio, are you fired
in a world of hurt. connell: and coming up, harry reid, his home state still up in the air in nevada. we are going to have live reports from vegas what the election talk is out there today. are people feeling a little scared today? not so much, but the yield on the 10-year is down. 1.68% for a 10-year yield. [ male announcer ] this is joe woods' first day of work. and his new boss told him twongs -- cook what you love, and save your money. joe doesn't know it yet, but he'll wk his way up from busser to waiter to chef before opening a restaurant specializing in fish and me from the great northwest. he'll start investing early, he'll find some gd people to help guide him, nd he'll set money aside from his first day of work to his last, which isn't rocket science. it's just common nse. from td ameritrade. >> i'm lori rothman with your fox business brief. the service sector grew pat a slightly slower than expected pace. because of the institute of supply management index of manufacturing activity. down from a six month high in september. brazilian sugar manufacturer will take over u.s. base
this early vote has turned out. look at this. colorado, 77% has already voted. nevada. 72%. north carolina, 63% has already voted. in florida 53%. iowa 44%. and ohio 31%. john dickerson and i were talking about this earlier today. we could have most of the results already by the people that have come out early and that's why the campaigns spent so much time on getting out the vote early, this ground game on these early votes. >> pelley: we'll come back to you early and often. john dickerson is our cbs news political director. john is going to be showing us the various ways that the candidates can get to the 270 electoral votes necessary to twin presidency. john? >> well, first, scott, let's follow up on what bob was saying. we're going to dispatch with 41 of the states, the majority of the country cbs estimates based on the polling that those states are either going to go to barack obama or to mitt romney. that gives barack obama a start where he's likely to get 237 electoral votes, mitt romney is likely to get 191 electoral votes. so here we are at the beginning of the evening, nothing ha
in the demographics of some key states, particularly nevada and colorado and to some extent, virginia. not long ago, these were some of the rest of the red states, and we have watched through the election cycles of our population in these and other states shifting and changing and we see a number of significant changes in voting patterns. in 2008, president obama was swept into office with 97% of african-american votes and 43% of the white vote. today, we look forward to hearing from the senior research associate on his analysis on how these numbers faired in the 2012 elections and what it meant to the outcome we all watched last night and into the early morning hours. with that, let me call on the doctor for his analysis and remarks. that will be followed by questions from you. thank you very much. [applause] >> good afternoon. good afternoon. the 2012 elections are over and the elections were historic. there is one particular aspect of the elections that was historic that i would like to talk about first. it is not simply the reelection of the first african-american president. 2012 will be the la
in the battleground blitz in wisconsin, nevada, and colorado. when he makes his final campaign stop in des moines, iowa, at a rally with the first lady, that's the only stop that she joins him on. the president will have visited eight of the nine battleground states. the one that he's not going to is north carolina. the 2012 presidential election could hinge on this, will the firewall of iowa, ohio, and wisconsin hold up? and you only have to look at the president's travel over the last five days of the campaign to find out that's where the campai campaign believes the race will be decided. one of them has to be the state of ohio. the president has events in ohio four out of five days on the trail. he stopped in iowa, wisconsin, and colorado two times, each will be in florida and virginia, new hampshire, nevada just once before this campaign is over. today the president will begin laying out what aides say is his closing argument, making a stronger case for government. he will point to the way forward to real change. it will say this apparently in his stump speech that will create a stronger futu
mejores oportunidad, hubiera sido competitivo en nevada, colorado, virginia, la florida. >>> sabes lo que pasa? creo que el partido republicano no entendiÓ la importancia de la reforma migratoria para hispanos, veÍan que el tema econÓmico era de mayor interÉs e importancia, sÍ, pero el tono de la reforma migratoria, y la manera cÓmo lo trataron que es tan personal, importante realmente rechazo, el hispano rechazÓ los mensajes. >>> no culpo a estrategas hispanos de washington le vendieron a mitt romney la idea que la base es antiinmigrante, todos los americanos republicanos y demÓcratas quieren una reforma migratoria. >>> tenemos un par de horas para discutir, vamos a la proyecciÓn, hablamos de ohio desde las 7 de la noche, desde Últimas semanas, finalmente ohio se definiÓ, y segÚn la proyecciÓn de univision y abc, obama el presidente barack obama ganÓ el tan disputado estado de ohio. >>> enrique, es el estado de ohio, lo que permite al presidente y iowa llegar a la casa blanca, cÓmo fue? >>> mantener primero wisconsin, y michigan, y pensilvania un estado que entrÓ en juego
giuliani. >> i don't know what he was doing in the nevada. i feel pretty offended seeing my president floating around, campaigning while people are suffering. >> your response? >> well, mayor giuliani is running around the country campaigning for mitt romney and popping off. the people in new york and new jersey, they're working with this president and this administration, fema, every day, and our focus needs to be. the country has been united. in focus on recovery. making sure we stand by those who lost so much and need to recover. this will take a long time. the federal government's doing all they can to partner with state and local officials. we flew power company from california to help restore power. getting fuel into the area. direct assistance to help with food and lodging. we're doing everything we can that we stand by the people in the eastern seaboard. >> your predecessor karl rove, top strategist for george w. bush, that sandy has given president an advantage? >> we think this has been a stable race. i think karl rove might have said that, because a few days ago he predicte
. neil: okay. thank you. one of the state's we will be keeping a close eye on. keep in mind, nevada is interesting for a number of reasons. ignored the four electoral votes, but it could be interesting in terms of the role of one gary johnson, the third party, libertarian party candidate who might eat into, ironically, barack obama's support in the state because among a lot of more socially liberal his views on pro marijuana, not only for medicinal purposes might help tip the scale. that state is very close. barack obama is favored to win it, but that would be one of those unusual states. gary johnson could be the reason i know that seems perverse. he could take it away from mitt romney in states like new mexico. again, those are feature states coming up. the electoral vote tally as we have right now, mitt romney has about 149 electoral votes to 127 for barack obama. i only hasten to add, there is nothing jilting to that. nothing has been unusual. the red states were expected. the blue states were expected. we have been pencilling in pennsylvania. that, of course, could change thing
that had large hispanic populations. like nevada, like colorado, like florida. so i think they should be very worried when it comes to these battleground states, and even in ohio, where you have 166,000 registered latino voters going out to the polls, and an election this tight, they could absolutely be the deciding factor. i think it's going to be the october surprise of this election. >> i thought we already had one of those. >> early november. >> let me ask you, because we were asking our viewers before the break, if you could run the campaign in the last three days, what would you do if you have the reins of the campaign. if you were in charge of the romney campaign, anna, what would you do at this point? >> i think exactly what they are doing. they're having big rallies. showing a great deal of republican unity. they're showing a great deal of momentum. they've got over a hundred of the top republican surrogates out there fanning around the country, going to the swing states. so you've got to get your base out at this point. pretty mu there are very few undecided that are left. i
million. missouri, a candidate's spending $22 million, $8 million in outside money. nevada, $18 million. independent line, good morning. who is going to win? caller: i think that mr. obama is going to win, but i had three points to make and i would like you to pick one. beer summit, take one for the team, or buyer's remorse. can you pick one? host: i will let you pick. my job is to get to the phone calls. caller: let me have all three, then. host: go ahead. caller: mitt romney will never have a beer summit, he will never mediate. nothing will ever happen like that, first of all. he does not drink. take one for the team? i do not think he would take one for the team. i think he would make america team america. he would make team america take one for him. his religiosity, he may want to force that on america when we are not ready. also, the buyer's remorse. i wrote down the we would be darned if we do and donned if we do not. we will wind up with more gridlock and the republicans will wind up with mr. obama anyway. host: ok. "washington post," the annual crystal ball addition. we are taki
contest. barack obama was leading before the election and then prevailed 52-46%. nevada also expected to be in the president's column, and indeed it turned out to be. let's go to new hampshire. this is a bit of a home state for mitt romney because he has a vacation home there. he spent a lot of time vacationing during the primaries. he won the primary, but not the general election in new hampshire. to north carolina a close race and we called it for mitt romney, a three-point win. the state of ohio, this was really the make or break for the mitt romney campaign. in the end he lost it by two percentage points. a lot of it had to do with his position on the auto bailout. virginia an important state for mitt romney to win. he had to run the table of florida, north carolina, virginia and ohio and he lost virginia. let's move to wisconsin. his running mate paul ryan born and raised in wisconsin. it didn't help him there. barack obama wins with wise -- wins wisconsin. the state of michigan mitt romney was born in michigan and raised there. his father was the governor for two terms. barack o
. right now he's en route to nevada. and later this evening, it is on to colorado. in what advisers call a slightly altered but affirmative stump speech, the president has promised to lay out his case of who he's fighting for and why. >> retraining at the age of 55 for a career in biotechnology. she needs a champion. >> and these are live pictures now from where governor romney is on the ground in virginia, in the southern part of the state. it is the governor's second event, by the way, of the day there. earlier today in central virginia, the governor resumed his message that he is the change candidate. this election, something he started before the storm. >> if the president were to be re-elected, you're going to see high levels of unemployment continue and stalled wage growth, if any wage growth at all, just like we've seen over the last four years. >>> and we're also getting a look at a new round of battleground polls all showing the president leading or running neck and neck with governor romney. in iowa the president is ahead six appointments among likely voters. he had an eight-po
in wisconsin, iowa, and nevada. let me ask you specifically about nevada. we see -- as karen was saying, strong early voting advantages. mitt romney appears not to be making any stops there over the next three days. do you der rooifr anything from that sfl. >> i derive a lot from the early voting numbers and i think the fact that romney is not going there is quite telling. nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state. that's how bad it is. >> so why is mitt romney going to pennsylvania? >> well, i think he's looking at the fact that he can't win in ohio, he's behind there. even his people are sort of acknowledging that that's falling off the map. he has t
, this is without nevada, this puts him at 271, this what is they believe is their fastest, most narrowest path. now, why is romney doing what he's doing with florida today? virginia. don't forget north carolina is one that they're counting on. new hampshire and then ohio. because ohio, look at that, it's right on the number. if all the states he visits today he carries, that's what he's doing. both of them are visiting, andrea, their narrowest paths to 270. i took you to the 271 path for the president, and then you saw the 270 path if you will for romney. now everything in between, what's a great night for the president, take you to that quickly. that would mean, winning ohio, but the one state i think they feel the least bit about is in north carolina. leave florida in romney's column. i think ultimately this is what we're looking at. something right in the 300 range is most realistic good night for the president. you go to mitt romney and what they think their most realistic be good night and why you see he has a little higher ceiling, bring these states back, virginia, iowa, which by the way i t
waiting on the other key swing states, iowa and nevada remain too early to call. north carolina, ohio, virginia, florida, colorado, too close to call. the senate, mostly breaking as expe expected, but the democrats did pick up three new seats. republicans projected to hold the house as well. >> all right. let's get straight to john harwood at the maproom to give us more color on what we're seeing as the most recent poll closings. over to you, john. >> we're almost completely closing the map of coloring in the map of all the states we knew in advance where they were going to faull. the only state where polls have not closed yet is the state of alaska. we're very confident mitt romney is going to win that based on polls before the election. so we're really waiting for those seven battleground states that haven't been filled in yet. again, to reiterate, as we've talked about before, if president obama wins the state of florida this race is over. he's going to be re-elected for a second term. but if mitt romney wins it, he's got to also win north carolina, he's got to win virginia, where
the difference. connell: you think nevada colorado go to obama and he still wins ohio? >> yes. i am not perfect but the hispanic vote, obviously the storm is a massive tragedy to slow the governor's momentum. the president looked presidential. those two factors will make the difference. connell: looking at the possibilipossibili ty is the rest of the hour but the economic course 10 the former energy secretary, gas prices every day at the all-time high on election day. that have a negative effect at all for the president? >> and not think the voters blame presidents for gas prices. and has been going down. he does have a strong commitment to renewable energy. i think it is awash. >> the hispanic vote turns out. thank you for coming on today governor richardson. dagen: the all-time high by $0.3 per is close. brett baier is here. >> good morning. dagen: what will you look at tonight's the people will not talking about turn out to and states? >> we will have an early sense with virginia at 7:00 p.m. we will have exit poll numbers to give us a sense with ed dead heat depending on how that chefs. dag
of the hour we'll take you to nevada and wisconsin. first, back to sole dad. >>> at the end of the day, it's all going to be about the math. in order to win, you have to hit the magic number of 270 electoral votes. let's get to christine romans who is crunching the numbers. >> the rose to 270. what if it were a draw at 269? it's possible. there are four 269 scenarios. statistically, there are 120 different scenarios. four with the swing states. this is hypothetical, remember. the map is assuming that states that are actually leaning go in the direction that they're leaning right now. wisconsin, ohio, and new hampshire, new hampshire with the four electoral votes, if they go for obama and romney wins nevada, colorado, iowa, virginia, and the 29 over there in florida, then you're at a tie. worst nightmare for both parties. 269 each. now a note for iowa here, this is assuming it goes red, it goes for romney with the six electoral votes. recent polls there showing a slight lead, actually, for obama. if wisconsin and ohio vote democrat, you know, technically you could think -- you could conclud
states today, wisconsin, nevada and colorado. vice president biden heads to iowa, while the first lady campaigns in florida. mitt romney will spend the day in virginia while vice presidential nominee paul ryan heads west to campaign in colorado and nevada. >>> and believe it or not, michelangelo's paintings on the ceiling of the sistine chapel were first displayed to the public 500 years ago today in 1512. >>> all day long you can stay on top of the very latest developments in those stories and others as they break on msnbc. and tonight be sure to watch brian williams with "nbc nightly news." >>> and, finally, here's a look at what's coming up later this morning on the "today" show. savannah gets an inside look at how engineers are draining all that water from new york city's flooded tunnels and subways. >>> and with just one day to go until their big show on the plaza, a look back at four decades of aerosmith. >>> and now keep it on this channel for continuing local news, weather, sports, and more. i'm lynn berry. thanks for watching "early today," just your first stop of the day, tod
: what about early voting in nevada? >> both colorado and nevada are early voting states. 80% of registered voters are vote. 56%, nevada. the gop is battling harry reid's political machine. a growing population has a voting edge of -- voting edge of 90,000. despite obama's 2-point statewide lead they can make it up in reno and democratic turnout, early voting is down 5 points over 2008. martha: thanks, william. bill: we heard for several years that the economy is issue number one for you at home. if that's the case, how does this race break today? fair and balanced debate on that in a moment. martha: a handful of swing states that will likely determine the outcome of this election. which states fall into that category and why? bill: the race seems to be tightening by the day. why does one political analyst predict a landslide. >> you watched what happened in this country the last four years with an interview. you hope that president obama would live up with his promise to bring people together, to solve the big problems. he hasn't. i will. [cheers and applause] but don't just
, turnout is crucial. >> turnout has been crucial for three weeks. in other words, in colorado, nevada, north carolina, it may have been crucial before today, but on election day, as nancy mentioned in her piece, republicans have to turn their base out. >> stay with us, we'll be speaking with both campaigns this morning. we begin with david axelrod. david, good morning. >> good morning, charlie. happy election day. >> well, thank you. happy election day to you and everybody else in the great state of illinois. so tell me what it is that's most crucial today for you to win. >> well, you've been using the word, which is turnout. we've been expecting a close election for a year and a half. we've built a tremendous organization. we've got 200,000 or more election shifts volunteers set up. we've got 5,000 stations in neighborhoods across the battleground states. and now it's time to turn out that vote. and that's what this election is going to be about. we are happy about those early vote numbers. those early vote numbers are very significant. we go in with a great advantage. >> one thing t
. let's take a look. if president obama wins nevada, iowa and pennsylvania, nevada, iowa, and pennsylvania, and let's say mitt romney wins colorado, new hampshire, and florida. new hampshire, colorado, that leaves three toss-ups. wisconsin, ohio, and the old dominion. so if the candidates split, ohio and wisconsin, neither one of them gets to the 270 electoral votes needed to win without virginia. and the final nbc news wall street journal poll before this election, it shows virginia in a statistic call tie. back to you. >> the following two breaking stories tonight. a commuter train hit and killed a person. no word on what led to the identity of the victim. shuttles have been taking some passengers to their death nations. delays are not expected to have an impact on the commute in the morning. >>> a 75-year-old man was critically injured in an apartment fire. and firefighters found him in the basement of the apartments on generals highway in crownsville. the cause of this fire is still under investigation. >> tonight, a father is facing charges after his 4-year-old child
california looks, it matters how nevada looks, matters how virginia looks. >> right. >> reporter: it is difficult for mitt romney to say this economy is in freefall. it is not. >> reporter: >> unemployment rates here is pretty -- good. 5.2%, one of the lowest in the country. the president won here by ten percentage points in the last election. my question here is why can't he lock it down right now? it's neck and neck. >> you know, though, we actually feel like we are locking it down. we have been lock it down for two years. >> i think he is selling something. i don't think it's locked down. >> reporter: we found plenty of iowans that aren't defensed by either campaign. >> fiscally i just don't see how we can sustain ourselves. i mean, europe right now, i mean, big huge great empires, countries and all that, that they're going bankrupt. it's going to be us. >> reporter: orthodontist chad moran plans to vote for romney, but didn't think his math udz up to erase the deficit. >> i don't think either side honestly really has a plan for going ahead. >> it becomes a lesser of two evils
in swing states wisconsin, colorado and nevada where he had this barb for mitt romney's policies. >> obama: with a straight face, he's offering them up as change. he's saying he's the candidate of change. now, let me tell you nevada, we know what change looks like. [ cheering ] >> obama: and what the governor is offering sure ain't change. >> >> jennifer: chump change. governor romney for his part worked some jabs into his speech at one of his three stops in virginia today. >> romney: he's going to create the department of business. [ laughter ] >> romney: i don't think adding a new chair in his cabinet will help add millions of jobs on main street. >> jennifer: if the rnc was any indication, mitt romney knows a lot about useless chairs. with five days before the election, this is no time to play nice. to dissect today's news, we've got a panel that covers every aspect of a war room. strategist karen skelton who worked in the clinton white house. she runs her own phil, skelton strategies. we have joe gar fo
states, iowa, montana, nevada, and utah, two of them are going to be watched really closely. those, of course, are iowa and nevada. the "real clear politics" polling average in iowa right now shows president obama ahead by two and in nevada president obama ahead by 2.7. then later in the night at 11:00 p.m. and then 1:00 a.m., we'll have california, hawaii, idaho, oregon, washington, and then the last poll closing in alaska. unless this is a very strange night, those races will be interesting for governors races and senate and house races and state issues, but not necessarily for the presidency. unless things go very, very differently than expected to go. this is how your election viewing is going to unfold hour by hour on tuesday night. if you just exclude the states for the presidential race where everybody pretty much knows exactly how it's going to go and just the states where there is some question as to what's going to happen, here is a clip and save thing for you about these states. the battlegrounds. all right? states that you know are going to be important and everybody th
, widespread foreclosures. nevada was dealt a pretty bad hand when it comes to the economy, but the state and its six electoral votes is still one of the most important battlegrounds in tuesday's election. the result could hinge on whether voters are betting on a strong, economic recovery. our miguel marquez headed to las vegas for a unique perspective on the nevada vote. >> here we are top of the strat stratusphere. as this county goes -- oh! in a city that fell harder and faster than just about any place in the country. this better be a very close election. the stratusphere hit hard. >> reporter: the vegas landmark sunk $20 million into a new rest raubt raunt and the sky jump thing and, most importantly, 100 new jobs. >> do ai think las vegas is through the worst of it? >> i drive to work and see things going on that i haven't seen for a little while. >> reporter: things like construction and homes being built in the place that once had the nation's highest foreclosure rate. >> there you go, yeah. >> reporter: chef rick gifens charts the decline and rise by a sort of entree index. at th
're going to win iowa. we're going to win wisconsin. we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i think a lot of us, we're sort of victims of 2004. before 2004 we were all more convinced of the challenger incumbent rule. that somehow challengers always got the undecided and then a tie goes to the challenger. then you're happened when bush won frankly as many of the undecided as he did. then you'd have to go back to '76 the last time the person with momentum lost at the end. lost the popular vote. that was ford. ford had the momentum but carter won in the end. even gore, he had the last-second momentum. he did win the popular vote. having the momentum ha
at least the 270 needed. 290 by my count. as the state's rollout as expected. iowa and nevada, we too close to call. for all of iowa's six electoral votes, they campaign my crazy nonstate. lou: this is a tough battle. it is always nice for these challengers against the incumbents. a tough uphill work in the best of times. they are running against very clever political operation in the obama campaign. neil: utah such a mormon stronghold. the romney has very strong ties in that state. his family has strong ties. no surprise that utah kids that way. orrin hatch was one who did resist a tea tea party insurgent. this would be his seventh term. lou: such a remarkably able u.s. senator. neil: he moved a lot of positions, he moved gingerly to the right, he cornered his tea party opponent and the winner of the republican primary. that is a seat that stays in republican hands. it could mean that republicans and in worse shape than what we think. lou: given what we have seen, i am not surprised -- in missouri and indiana, this is a campaign organization. let's be straight forward. the strategy was som
has to win iowa, colorado, and nevada. melissa: that's a lot. >> to do that you're 269. melissa: that is lot. >> go to house speaker john boehner and house votes. melissa: i see rove in the elevator. come on, tell me. they're like, you know, this could happen. you're like, no, no, tell me who is going to win. >> one more thing on this. i know this is a business show and you're at 7.9% unemployment. if the president does win re-election he will defy economic and political gravity. melissa: that's true. >> the stories that will be written about his ground game, in states like ohio, that he won in 2008 but did not abandon. he still paid staffers to keep the field offices open for the past four years. watch for that story. melissa: that is what, what you mean by ground game, staying there? >> that's right. melissa: hemmer, thanks so much. what an exciting night the next 24 hours. if early voting lines are any indication there will be overwhelming turnout. over 90 million people are expected to cast ballots. election firms coast to coast are brazing for potential problems by the way
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